May 27

Despite an over two-month long surge in prices, there was little good news to maintain the market’s upward trend of bull-and-bearthe week ending on May 23rd. Advising caution, Harry Rady of Rady Asset Management remarked,

“Everything is overpriced. A very long, protracted recession is still very much alive.”

According to an article on “BradentonHerald.com” the week began on a positive note with stocks rallying on Monday. As the week progressed however, markets began a downward slide in response to several pieces of “not-so-good’ news which were announced during the week.

The federal government expects unemployment to reach as much as 9.6 percent, a much worse prediction than previously, and Standard and Poor’s may demote the British government from their present credit rating of AAA.
Hopes were thwarted when an early market gain on Friday ended the day with a total 15 point loss for the Dow Jones industrial average. As for the gains of the week, the major indicators all finished in the black, but only just.  The Dow squeeked ahead by 0.10 percent; S & P 500 index did slightly better with a 0.47 percent rise; and the Nasdaq did the best, almost finishing up by one whole percentage point at 0.71 percent increase in value.

The 10 week rally has lifted stocks by 30 percent since their 12-year low in March. With not much good news to continue to fuel this market surge stocks have been teetering and tottering without much gain in recent days.

The upcoming economic calendar is full of data such as reports of home sales levels, orders for manufactured products and indicators of consumer confidence, which should help determine which way this market is heading for the next few weeks.

May 17

Harry Rady of Rady Asset Management discusses his apprehension concerning the stress tests that government regulators are subjecting financial institutions to during the present economic downturn that the United States is facing at the moment.
Rady’s first concern is that the regulators don’t really have the “big picture” in mind. He believes that the stress tests are too homogeneous and rely too heavily on quantitative metrics.
His other concern is that there is a built in conflict of interest between the regulators, shareholders and management. The job of the regulators is to make sure that the companies stay solvent and that the flow of capital is unobstructed. They are not doing anything to protect the interests of the shareholders.
Listen to the entire interview now.